Detroit Lions Win Football Game
42 min read
NFL Week 13 – Each Sunday, the FO staff sends around emails about the games that each of us are watching. We share information about the games that the rest of the group might not be watching, ask questions, and keep everyone else informed about which games they might want to tune into (if they can).
On Monday, we compile a digest of those emails and produce this feature. By its nature, it can be disjointed and dissimilar to the other articles on the site.
While these emails are generally written with Audibles in mind, they do not represent a standard review of all the games each week. That means we aren’t going to cover every game, or every important play. We watch the games that we, as fans, are interested in watching, so your favorite team’s game might not be covered to your fullest desires or even at all. (If you are a Seahawks or Patriots fan, you are probably in luck; if you are a Lions fan, not so much.) We have no intention of adding new authors solely to cover every game on a given Sunday, nor will we watch a different game from the ones that we’re personally interested in watching just to ensure that Audibles covers every game.
Los Angeles Chargers 41 at Cincinnati Bengals 22
Scott Spratt: Just as we all expected, the Chargers started their game against the Bengals with an excellent special teams play! I wonder how much a 48-yard Andre Roberts kickoff return will make a dent in the team’s 32nd-ranked special teams DVOA.
Aaron Schatz: Sorry, the Chargers missed an extra point. They are still the Chargers. Justin Herbert hit Mike Williams on a 41-yard bomb over Chidobe Awuzie. He overthrew Donald Parham on a fade at the goal line on third-and-goal from the 4, but being the Chargers, they went for it on fourth down and Herbert rifled it in to Keenan Allen between three defenders. Bengals run defense looks good so far but Chargers pass offense was better. 6-0 Chargers.
Derrik Klassen: Third-and-goal play from the Chargers seemed like a bit of a miscommunication from Herbert and Parham. Parham ran a little out-and-up from the slot. Herbert expected him to keep working up the sideline, but with a defender working top-down over the slot, Parham slowed down and looked like he wanted the ball back-shoulder. Ball missed high and over Parham’s head.
And then it didn’t matter because Herbert threw a rocket between three defenders to Keenan Allen on fourth down for the touchdown.
Scott Spratt: I’ll mention too that Branden Staley went for that fourth down 4 yards away from the end zone, and he’s first among head coaches in EdjSports’ Critical Call Index this season. It fascinates me that Sean McVay is near the bottom of that list while his protege leads it.
Derrik Klassen: Joe Burrow may have thrown the most unfortunate interception I have ever seen. Ja’Marr Chase beat his man with an inside stem on a vertical route and got a clear step ahead of the defender. Burrow placed the ball 6 inches out in front of Chase’s chest, in perfect stride, and Chase somehow bobbled it up into the cornerback’s hands. Touchdown turned interception through no fault of Burrow. Unlucky.
Aaron Schatz: Bengals just turned the ball over for the second time. First one was a strip-sack by Uchenna Nwosu beating the backup right tackle Isaiah Prince. That turned into a field goal. Then Joe Burrow had Ja’Marr Chase on what looked like a touchdown pass down the right sideline and Chase bobbled it right into the hands of cornerback Mike Davis.
By the way, the Chargers run defense is actually playing well so far: Joe Mixon has four carries for 6 yards and an offensive holding call that took back his one good run. 9-0 Chargers.
Scott Spratt: Here’s that Chargers interception:
What concentration by Michael Davis on the INT! #BoltUp
: #LACvsCIN on CBS
: NFL app pic.twitter.com/0CNsDR3Xpt— NFL (@NFL) December 5, 2021
That’s Ja’Marr Chase’s eighth drop of the season per Sportradar, tied for third-most among wide receivers. Everyone at the top of that list is good, but it’s interesting given Chase’s preseason drop concerns.
J.P. Acosta: I remember we mentioned the Bengals being such a high-variance team this season, where they seem to put together dominant games with clunkers. This seems like a clunker early.
Scott Spratt: Derrik, what is your scouting breakdown of this Chargers RPO touchdown?
.@Keenan13Allen has two first quarter TDs! #BoltUp
: #LACvsCIN on CBS
: NFL app pic.twitter.com/GVyrm4tev6— NFL (@NFL) December 5, 2021
Does the quarterback throw his best receiver the ball when literally no one covers him?
J.P. Acosta: Once I find the video I’ll send it, but Jesus Justin Herbert is insane. Threw a deep over from the other side of the field for a touchdown. 24-0 Chargers.
Vince Verhei: This the video you were looking for J.P.?
Justin Herbert’s arm is something else!#LACvsCIN #NFL #NFLTwitter #BoltUPpic.twitter.com/M8R0W5uleN
— Football Outsiders (@fboutsiders) December 5, 2021
Chargers followed that with a Keenan Allen-to-Herbert Philly Special for a two-point conversion and a stunning 24-0 lead midway through the second quarter.
J.P. Acosta: Exactly it. My goodness.
Scott Spratt: Herbert underthrew that pass by several yards, although that’s just a free defensive pass interference penalty, so I guess good on him.
Aaron Schatz: Bengals score a touchdown on a bullet from Burrow to Tee Higgins. Who says Burrow doesn’t have a strong arm? Maybe not the strongest, but he’s made some perfect passes today. Then they go for two. They take a timeout to think about going for two. They line up to go for two. They get a delay of game. So then they go for an extra point from the 20, and Evan McPherson misses that. 24-6 Chargers.
Derrik Klassen: Kinda feel bad for Joe Burrow in this one. He’s playing out of his mind and has already thrown about five perfect passes beyond 15 yards, but legitimately every other part of the team is failing. Run game can’t move, offensive line can’t pass pro, defense is a disaster, had the unlucky Chase interception—I mean just everything outside of Burrow’s control has gone wrong. At 24-6, the game is probably too far out of control for the Bengals to come back too, especially considering their defense is sure to allow even more points.
Scott Spratt: Remember a few weeks ago when we were debating whether Patrick Mahomes should be trying to tackle his interceptor? Here was Justin Herbert after an Austin Ekeler fumble.
Business decision by Justin Herbert. pic.twitter.com/RsUbPyn0ou
— Ronnie, Professional Talker Guy (@RonnieKRadio) December 5, 2021
I just can’t not love it.
Aaron Schatz: Bengals-Chargers goes to halftime with the Chargers up 24-13. Chargers just had the ball but Herbert took two sacks, then threw another interception with a deep 50-50 ball to Josh Palmer. Problem with the 50-50 ball is that 50% of the time you won’t come down with it. Awuzie did instead. But Bengals’ final drive fizzled out with dumpoffs in-bounds and no timeouts.
Here would be my worries going forward as the Bengals. First, something is up with Joe Burrow’s finger which was bent backwards at some point. He is clearly annoyed by it, they have retaped it, don’t know how that will affect him in the second half. Second, the running game is just not working except for a draw to Samaje Perine near the end of the first half. Mixon has 10 carries for 18 yards. At least it’s easier to try to run against that Chargers defense in a 24-13 game rather than a 24-6 game, but the Chargers are doing an excellent job of filling holes and tackling despite not bringing down one of their usual two high safeties. Some of the problem is backup Cincinnati linemen Trey Hill (center) and Isaiah Prince (right tackle). Will have to watch how they do in the second half.
Scott Spratt: Here’s a picture of Joe Burrow’s pinkie at the start of the second half:
Joe burrow is out there throwing with a BASEBALL GLOVE for a hand pic.twitter.com/DPWMn95mwz
— Kegan (@_kegannn) December 5, 2021
That doesn’t look great!
Scott Spratt: Since taking a 24-0 lead, the Chargers have ended their last three drives with a fumble lost, an interception, and another fumble lost. And just like that, the Bengals are a two-point conversion away from tying the game at 24-24.
Aaron Schatz: Burrow’s finger doesn’t look like a problem so far in the second half and those offensive linemen are playing better especially on two long Mixon runs including one for the touchdown to make it 24-22. The Chargers defense is designed to take away the deep shots, and the Bengals don’t have deep shots. They have a ton of mid-level gains on passes of 5 to 15 yards, though.
Aaron Schatz: Bengals had turned this game around with strong defensive line play. The Chargers offense had some deep throws early but since the second quarter Herbert can’t get it deep because of the defensive pressure. But everything just turned quickly. Joe Mixon lost the handle on a handoff and TeVaughn Campbell of the Chargers picked it up and ran it all the way for a touchdown. We’ll see how the Bengals offense responds. 31-22 Chargers.
Arizona Cardinals 33 at Chicago Bears 22
J.P. Acosta: Fourth-and-2 in Bears territory and Kyler Murray throws a beautiful pass to DeAndre Hopkins for a touchdown. Initially the side judge ruled it incomplete but then the head ref came over and ruled it a touchdown. This came after Andy Dalton threw a pick on the Bears opening drive.
Bryan Knowles: Andy Dalton gets the start with Justin Fields still aching. The savvy veteran’s first pass … is behind his receiver, tipped, and intercepted. Well, that could have started better.
Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins are back for Arizona, and there’s a little bit of rust—Murray can’t handle the first snap and ends up absorbing a sack. That pins Arizona back, and the Bears hold to a fourth-and-2, but Arizona goes for it, Murray hits Hopkins with a beautiful little rainbow in the corner of the end zone, and after review, it’s a 7-0 lead for Arizona. Welcome back, Kyler; the Colt McCoy era was intriguing, but you were missed.
J.P. Acosta: Chicago was putting together a good drive, but then the elements catch up to the Bears being the Bears as Cole Kmet drops a pass and Budda Baker picks it off and returns it deep into Bears territory.
Bryan Knowles: Kyler Murray puts another ball on the ground, on a miscommunication with the exchange. Some of that might be the rainy weather in Chicago, some of that might be rust, but Arizona does put the ball on the ground plenty—something to keep an eye on in the future.
And “the future” is the key word here, because the Bears aren’t providing too much resistance. On third down, Murray scrambles out of pressure and races 10 yards for a score to give Arizona a 14-0 lead in the first quarter. I think he’s OK.
Vince Verhei: The Cardinals botch snaps in all sorts of conditions—dry, wet, indoors, outdoors, wherever. It’s way too frequent a mistake to blame on the weather. About the only thing they have not done well this year is the basic snap exchange.
J.P. Acosta: On the bright side for Chicago, they have run the ball really well. Arizona has had struggles with stopping the run the entire season, and David Montgomery is having his way so far.
Bryan Knowles: Credit where credit is due—Matt Nagy faced a fourth-and-8 from the Arizona 27. He could have easily kicked a field goal and made things a 14-3 game, but no, he kept his offense on the field, they picked it up, and David Montgomery punches it in for a touchdown a few plays later to make it 14-7.
Bryan Knowles: Earlier this year, I kept trying to make James Conner a Loser League thing. I have learned my lesson since then, as the man does nothing but score touchdowns. The Cardinals’ response to the Bears’ score is a seven-play drive where Conner touched the ball four times, including a 21-yard run into Bears territory, and then a 23-yard touchdown reception on a little screen where the Bears decided tackles are for squares. That’s 14 touchdowns for Conner this season; I would have guessed something like four before the season started. 21-7 Cardinals and the Bears are going to have to score, like, every drive to have a chance in this one.
Scott Spratt: James Conner entered the week with seven carries from the 1-yard line, tied for the most among running backs with Derrick Henry. It’s not your fault, Bryan!
Bryan Knowles: I was about to flip this game off the main TV for obvious reasons, but the Bears have shown just the slightest amount of life here in the second half. An ill-advised end around caused the Cardinals to have to settle for a field goal, and the Bears marched down the field with entirely sustainable plays, like this trick play which certainly wasn’t nearly a massive disaster, and two somewhat ticky-tack penalties on Arizona to get first downs. Definitely a workable strategy going forwards; no question. But it is 24-14 Cardinals, so the Bears are sneaking back into things…
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30 at Atlanta Falcons 17
Bryan Knowles: The Falcons have Cordarrelle Patterson listed as their third-string safety, and Dean Pees says that they have packages where he plays defense. Considering he is, essentially, their entire offense at this point in time, how crazy is that?
J.P. Acosta: I wanna see defensive specialist Cordarrelle Patterson. I’m sure Pees has something drawn up for him
Aaron Schatz: Don’t see Tom Brady make a mistake like this very often.
Don’t see Tom Brady make a mistake like this very often. https://t.co/EDEj0R2qQk
— Aaron Schatz (@FO_ASchatz) December 5, 2021
Vince Verhei: The timing of that play was interesting. Bucs had a 10-point lead with less than a minute to go in the half, and a lot of teams would have gone conservative there, to avoid just that sort of result.
So the lead is cut to 20-17, but what’s most interesting is how we got here—the two teams have radically different game plans. Even with that pick-six, the Buccaneers have 217 yards on 28 passing plays, but only 17 yards on five non-kneeldown rushes. They’re just throwing the ball all over the place. Meanwhile, Matt Ryan has taken three sacks, and the Falcons have more yards rushing (101) than passing (95). Most of that came on on the first drive, when Cordarrelle Patterson had a 39-yard gain to set up Mike Davis’ 17-yard touchdown (both to the left side), but this is already the fifth time in the last seven games the Buccaneers have given up at least 100 yards on the ground. Vita Vea is back, but Tampa Bay’s once-dominant run defense has been pretty ordinary for the better part of two months now.
Vince Verhei: Falcons were hanging around in this game for most of the second half, but on a third-and-2 in Tampa Bay territory down by 10 points in the fourth quarter, pressure got to Matt Ryan again, forcing an intentional grounding. The Falcons punted back to Tampa Bay, who have since killed 5:25 and counting. At the two-minute warning, they have a third-and-13 at the Atlanta 22, with the Falcons out of timeouts. They hand off to Leonard Fournette who … runs out of bounds to stop the clock? But it probably won’t matter—Ryan Succop hits from 31 yards out and Tampa Bay goes up 30-17.
Dave Bernreuther: Is there a place online to quickly check the hurried/hit/knocked down stats they’ll sometimes throw up on the broadcast?
Tom Brady threw 51 passes in this one, and while I might certainly have missed some, I had my eye on most, and I can recall only one single time where they got anywhere near him: a second-quarter incompletion.
If I was trolling for engagement and comments I might say something along the lines of him having the easiest job in football and thus having no business in any MVP discussion. Instead, as a rational fan I’ll choose to appreciate that at age 44, nothing whatsoever (including tying shoes) is easy, and that making the right throw 50 out of 51 times is still super valuable, easy job or not. Plenty of other quarterbacks have had it pretty easy and still make two or three times the mistakes.
Indianapolis Colts 31 at Houston Texans 0
Scott Spratt: The Texans threw an interception on the first play of their first drive and now lost a fumble on the fourth play of their second drive. Jonathan Taylor may be back in the MVP discussion in another couple of hours if the Colts keep getting short fields.
Vince Verhei: Tyrod Taylor has only 45 yards passing late in the third quarter while giving up an interception and a pair of sacks. And he looks done for the day—Houston is going to Davis Mills.
This is relevant news for Loser League and, well, that’s about it.
Bryan Knowles: Ah, it’s ALSO relevant news for the Texans’ push for the No. 1 draft pick! And their push to beat the Lions to elimination! It’s very much a #sickos moment, but then, who else is watching Texans-Colts at this point?
Dave Bernreuther: I am, Bryan. I’m on a beach just keeping an eye on Carson Wentz and the potential shutout. Shutouts are always interesting. (Sorry, Rivers.) Hard to take too much away from this one, given the opponent, but the Colts handled their business well after a tough loss.
Vince Verhei: Everything in Houston is going great. Good times all around.
Screaming at the owner’s suite. Kicked out of the game. https://t.co/nxNTAiuuSo
— Lance Zierlein (@LanceZierlein) December 5, 2021
Rivers McCown: I can’t believe it’s December and there’s more than a month left of this terrible stuff. Here, read this, enjoy learning about the Texans Rando Culture Benching Lotto that Mike Tanier tells me he has never seen before, and enjoy some hilarious Davis Mills action.
Carolina Panthers 0 at Bye Week 1
Bryan Knowles: The Panthers have just announced that they have parted ways with offensive coordinator Joe Brady. I mean, they picked a time to bury the news, I guess!
Scott Spratt: Oh that’s tough for Matt Rhule. It gives Brady a month head start to land a nice preferred job.
Aaron Schatz: I don’t understand the Brady firing at all. Remember how much people wanted this guy after LSU’s season two years ago? Is offensive play design the problem in Carolina this year? Joe Brady didn’t choose to have Sam Darnold as his quarterback. I would have to think he finds a job very quickly, depending on whether he wants to go back to college or wait for February to get an NFL job.
Bryan Knowles: I think it’s a decent rule of thumb that if your coordinator interviewed for head coaching jobs the previous year, maybe cut them a little slack if your big free agency acquisitions don’t work out.
Aaron Schatz: David Newton from ESPN is reporting that part of the problem was that Matt Rhule felt that Brady wasn’t running the ball enough. You know, while losing and with the team’s best running back hurt.
New York Giants 9 at Miami Dolphins 20
Vince Verhei: Giants have a second-and-11 with the clock running very late in the first quarter. There’s confusion, so they call timeout to get things straight. Doesn’t sound like the end of the world, except that it’s very late in the first quarter—they could have just let the period end without calling timeout or taking a penalty! With that extra snap, they throw a short completion to bring up third-and-6. Way to go, Joe Judge.
Vince Verhei: Tua Tagovailoa hits Mack Hollins for a short touchdown on the Dolphins’ last drive of the second quarter to put Miami up 10-3 at halftime. I have been paying more attention to this game than it probably deserves but I’m still struggling for much to say. Miami has no run to their run/pass option game—the Dolphins have nine carries for only 28 yards—so the Giants defenders are swarming to every completion and eliminating all YAC. Tagovailoa has 21 completions for a whopping 137 yards. That’s not even 7 yards per completion. I know we’re an analytics site and all, but a good running back (and/or good blockers) would really make a big difference for this offense.
Mind you, Mike Glennon isn’t doing much better—13-of-18 for only 97 yards—but he has probably played better than his numbers. His receivers have dropped some balls, and his one interception was basically an arm punt that pinned Miami deep.
Scott Spratt: This game is a matchup of the 30th- (Dolphins, 3.52) and 31st- (Giants, 3.51) ranked teams in adjusted line yards. I’m not sure either side will be running much, options or not.
Vince Verhei: Au contraire mon frère! After Glennon passes the Giants to midfield, New York gets into the red zone on a 23-yard Saquon Barkley off-tackle run to the right, then a 17-yard Devontae Booker off-tackle run to the left. The drive stalls there, but they do get a field goal to cut the lead to 10-6.
Vince Verhei: New York’s last series went like this:
- Jaelan Phillips sack on first down.
- NYG timeout.
- Jaelan Phillips sack on second down.
- Delay of game.
- Give-up handoff on third-and-33 to set up a punt.
That’s three straight drives for New York ending on punts, one of them on fourth-and-2 in Miami territory while trailing 10-6.
But now that lead is 17-6, as the Dolphins march down into the red zone and Tagovailoa hits Isaiah Ford for a 2-yard touchdown. Jaylen Waddle left the game for Miami, though he was able to walk to the locker room. Waddle leads the team with nine catches for 90 yards today, so that could be a big loss.
Vince Verhei: Dolphins miss a 52-yard field goal, then Giants get a 51-yarder, so this game was still at stake on Miami’s last drive. But Tagovailoa converts a pair of third downs to set up Jason Sanders from 48, and the kick is good. That makes it 20-9 and this one’s done.
Philadelphia Eagles 33 at New York Jets 18
Vince Verhei: As we all expected from Gardner Minshew and Zach Wilson, this has turned into a shootout, with both teams scoring touchdowns on each of their first two drives. The quarterbacks are a combined 15-of-16 for 175 yards and three scores. Dallas Goedert is the star so far for the Eagles—five catches for 98 yards and both touchdowns, and the second quarter just started. Alex Kessman is not the star for the Jets—in his NFL debut, he has missed both extra points, leaving the Jets trailing 14-12.
Both teams are wearing green helmets and black pants, so this looks like a scrimmage more than a game. Maybe the defenders are losing track of who they’re supposed to be covering.
Scott Spratt: Woah, the new Jets kicker Alex Kessman has missed his first two extra-point attempts? He may go down as a Loser League white whale; he may end up released before we can make him a lineup option!
Aaron Schatz: I am regretting not adding him to the available players on Saturday!
Vince Verhei: Third-and-goal from the 1, Zach Wilson has Elijah Moore wide open on the right side of the back of the end zone, but throws wide and Moore can’t make the catch. So they go for it and fourth-and-goal and get a receiver open in the exact same spot. Wilson is accurate this time and Ryan Griffin makes the catch for the score.
Jets go for two and don’t get it, so the lead is 18-14. Not a good sign for Kessman that they passed up both the field goal from the 1 and the PAT, though the score is likely a bigger factor than the two kicks he missed.
Carl Yedor: Wilson has been playing well so far in this one, but he took a sack on third-and-short to bring up the first punt of the game. The Jets tried to go to the quick game to convert, and when it was covered up, Wilson instinctively backed up directly into the path of an onrushing defender. A strong return by Jalen Reagor sets the Eagles up on the other side of midfield just outside the two-minute warning. Regardless, today has been encouraging for the Jets offense, which they will hopefully be able to build on for the remainder of the season and into next year. The defense, on the other hand, needs some serious work.
Bryan Knowles: That was, at least theoretically, the plan for this season. The Jets used the majority of their draft capital and free-agent spending to try to get some talent on offense, and they were counting on Carl Lawson and scheme to keep the defense briefly afloat until they had time to actually get to repairing it. Neither has really worked to this point in the season, but hey, best-laid plans.
Scott Spratt: More fun with new kicker Alex Kessman:
Whoa: The Jets are the 1st team in the last 40 seasons to score a touchdown on each of their first 3 possessions of a game and end up with 18 points on those 3 drives, per @EliasSports. #Jets
— Rich Cimini (@RichCimini) December 5, 2021
The Jets tried for two and failed after their third touchdown. I’m not sure Kessman will ever try another NFL kick, which means he could finish his career with two missed extra points and that’s it.
Vince Verhei: Multiple strange fourth-down occurrences on the Eagles’ last drive. Fourth-and-4 at the Jets 48, they line up to go for it, but New York jumps offside and gives them a free first down. Fourth-and-1 at the Jets’ 34, Minshew is stuffed on a sneak, but Philly challenges, and we get the very rare ball-spot reversal—indeed, it’s ruled a 2-yard gain and a first down. But then after all of that, they end up kicking a field goal on fourth-and-3 from the 25. The 43-yard field goal is good and the Eagles go up 30-18, so the Jets need two touchdowns now, but that’s some passive-aggressive (aggressive-passive?) play calling by Philadelphia.
Vince Verhei: Eagles win 33-18 in a game that was never really in doubt in the second half. Only two notes:
- Jason Kelce left with an injury and his replacement promptly snapped the ball way over Minshew’s head, so hopefully Kelce can come back next week.
- The Jets only reached Philly territory twice in the second half. Wilson was intercepted the first time, and they went for it on fourth-and-10 because they were down by 15 points. The play failed, and so Kessman never got another chance to try a kick. He remains 0-for-his brief career.
Minnesota Vikings 27 at Detroit Lions 29
Bryan Knowles: I have this game on the big screen because I am a glutton for punishment connoisseur of elimination scenarios. We have a race going on in the early window to see whether the Lions or Texans will be the first team officially eliminated from the playoffs; the Lions need to lose while the Texans need to lose and see the Chargers win to be eliminated before the late games kick off.
While the Texans are holding up their end of the deal, the Lions … are in the lead! The 32nd-ranked red zone defense has held Minnesota to a pair of field goals,and T.J. Hockenson has a couple of big catches—one in heavy traffic to get the Lions into the red zone, and another to give the Lions a touchdown and a 7-6 lead.
Bryan Knowles: Make it 14-6 for the winless Lions! Kirk Cousins ended up with an odd play—he got his helmet swiped a bit, and he ended up tossing the football away … sideways. That’s a fumble, that’s the Lions ball, and that gives Jared Goff the opportunity to make a couple of 25-yard completions. Josh Reynolds, finally active and ready to go, breaks a pair of tackles to get the ball to the red zone, and then Goff threads the needle to someone named Brock Wright (nope, never heard of him), and the Lions have an eight-point lead!
Vince Verhei: Not the best shot of this play, but it bears repeating that every once in a while, Kirk Cousins does something that makes me question if he has ever played football before.
Refs missed a facemask on the Lions on that Cousins fumble. pic.twitter.com/lRpfCTdDNF
— Will Ragatz (@WillRagatz) December 5, 2021
Bryan Knowles: Ten of the Vikings 11 games have been one-score games this season, so anyone putting this one to bed was being way premature, even with Adam Thielen ruled out for the rest of the day. The Vikings’ first two drives of the second half have cut this from a 20-6 deficit to a 20-15 one, as it turns out “huck the ball to Justin Jefferson” is a workable strategy against most NFL defenses, and also whatever the Detroit Lions are putting out there. To the Lions’ credit, they have managed to do a solid job holding the Vikings; Minnesota keeps getting into Detroit territory but had to settle for three field goals before that latest touchdown, and they managed to sniff out some misdirection to stop the two-point conversion, so they still have a five-point lead. But this was never going to be easy…
Bryan Knowles: The Lions do pick up a field goal on their ensuing drive, but the Vikings have gone into “oh, right, we’re playing the 0-10-1 Lions” mode. With Thielen out, K.J. Osborn has been put into a significantly larger role and has responded well—four catches for 47 yards and score, with three of those catches happening on this last drive (surrounded by some great Justin Jefferson plays, natch). But the Lions stiffen up on the two-point conversion, and they cling to a 23-21 lead with 12 minutes left in the game…
Bryan Knowles: Oh, Dan Campbell, no.
On fourth-and-1, deep in their own territory, holding a two-point lead with four minutes left in the game, the Lions decide to go for it. Great! The Vikings are missing most of their starting defensive linemen; line up and push them forward, gain the yard, keep the clock moving!
Instead, they run play-action and Goff staggers backwards and takes a strip-sack. Vikings now have the ball inside the red zone, and are running clock.
Bryan Knowles: The play call. I mean, you tell me.
STRIP SACK! #Skol
(via @NFL)pic.twitter.com/C4mnhz0hRA
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) December 5, 2021
Aaron Schatz: Jason Cabinda, the fullback, is looking around in that video like he’s not sure who he’s supposed to block. I wonder if he was supposed to take the untouched rusher who took down Goff?
Bryan Knowles: If there’s any good news for the Lions, it’s that the Vikings scored too fast—Justin Jefferson gets into the end zone with 1:50 left in the game. The two-point conversion fails again, and the Vikings have a 27-23 lead, so the Lions, with no timeouts, at least have a chance…
Bryan Knowles: They did it! The Lions won a professional football game! The very last play of the game saw Goff hitting Amon-Ra St. Brown and earn the 29-27 win. I am SO happy for Dan Campbell.
Aaron Schatz: Why were the Vikings defensive backs playing so far back on that last play? Were they trying to defend the first row of seats?
Aaron Schatz: The cornerback in question was Cameron Dantzler, No. 27.
I have lots of questions about this play!!!!! pic.twitter.com/UlSklW2Imp
— Bill Barnwell (@billbarnwell) December 5, 2021
Scott Spratt: I love it for Campbell! And honestly, this season has gone perfectly for the Lions, hasn’t it? This may be their first win of the year, but they’re now 8-4 against the spread, a sign I take that the team continues to play hard for Campbell despite a bottom-two DVOA roster. And they maintain a game lead in the race for the No. 1 pick in the draft.
Dave Bernreuther: I just finished talking about Tom Brady and easy jobs, and the counter-example I didn’t say at the end but had in mind was Jared Goff, who still managed to find ways to look terrible in an excellent situation at times in L.A. So it’s fitting, then, that the broadcast switched over to the end of the Lions game, just in time for Justin Jefferson to score and put Jared Goff into a two-minute game winning drive situation … which he converts to give Dan Campbell his first victory!
The touchdown pass was well done, but it was actually the incompletion to the end zone earlier in the drive that stood out to me. Goff has always gone from good to awful if there’s pressure, with very little in between; on this particular play the Vikings got a bit of strong-side pressure as well as blitzing Harrison Smith from the weak side. It was a difficult play, but Goff seemed unfazed by the pressure and stood in to fire off a pass, which ended up incomplete. I have been as hard on Goff as anyone so it’s only fair that I mention that he impressed me on that drive.
Congratulations to Dan Campbell. Pretty good weekend for Michigan football.
Bryan Knowles: The Lions’ win, coupled with the Texans loss and the Chargers’ win, means the Houston Texans are the first team mathematically eliminated from the playoffs, not the Detroit Lions. Congratulations, Dan Campbell. Sorry, Rivers.
Baltimore Ravens 19 at Pittsburgh Steelers 20
Scott Spratt: What a bizarre opening drive for the Ravens.
- Steelers defensive tackle Montravius Adams batted a pass down backward—he was facing toward the left sidelines and pulled his arm back to the right sidelines and hit the ball.
- The Ravens snapped a ball off of a motioning Patrick Ricard and would have lost 15 or more yards where Lamar Jackson recovered, but the play was whistled dead (late) for a delay of game.
- Jackson threw an interception in the end zone.
And yes, Jackson did throw four interceptions last week. I’m guessing you heard.
Scott Spratt: Fourth-round rookie left tackle Dan Moore went down injured on the Steelers opening drive. That probably won’t be a big deal for the *checks notes* 29th-ranked line in adjusted line yards … on the next play, several Ravens met Najee Harris in the backfield on a third-and-1. And the Steelers punted.
Scott Spratt: Punter highlight! Check out Pressley Harvin’s all-time coffin-corner kick:
Obviously this punt might be the highlight of our season.#Steelers #HereWeGo pic.twitter.com/xh8OiHgJa8
— Obviously (Not) Tomlin (@Tomlin_Sense) December 5, 2021
Scott Spratt: Devonta Freeman just ran in a touchdown to put the Ravens up 7-0, and the Ravens have had 18:35 of possession to the Steelers’ 2:48 so far.
Aaron Schatz: I think the big story from the first half of this game is strong performance from two defenses that have underwhelmed so far this year. Baltimore is controlling the line of scrimmage on defense and they’re getting to Ben Roethlisberger with blitzes. But the Steelers defense is also playing well with four sacks so far including two for Chris Wormley. Both teams are around 5 yards per play at this point.
Scott Spratt: Ben Roethlisberger may not have an arm anymore, but he does a remarkable job with some of the moonballs he releases several seconds before his receivers can hit the spots. In the first half, he threw a should-have-been touchdown pass that Diontae Johnson dropped.
Diontae Johnson brutal TD drop #Steelers pic.twitter.com/EV2xPFOQUo
— TimeoutSPORTS__ (@TimeoutSPORTS3) December 5, 2021
And he just completed another moon pass to Ray-Ray McCloud for 32 yards that the Ravens got overturned on a challenge since McCloud had the ball jarred loose as he hit the turf.
Roethlisberger deserves much better than his 8-of-15 for 80 yards line so far.
Scott Spratt: The CBS broadcast just had some great Next Gen stats for today’s game. The Steelers have blitzed Lamar Jackson on 46% of his dropbacks so far today. It’s their first game over 40% this season and continues the trend the Dolphins started a few weeks ago blitzing Jackson heavily. It doesn’t seem obvious to me that blitzing Jackson would be an effective strategy with his mobility, but Mike Tanier was telling me last week that teams have been able to collapse pockets with interior pressure since the Ravens have so many offensive line injuries.
Per the broadcast, Jackson had his interception and was close to 20% completions below expectation today on blitzes. And entering this week, Jackson was bottom-five in EPA per play on blitzes and tied for first in EPA per play without blitzes with Aaron Rodgers.
Aaron Schatz: Steelers just went 79 yards in two plays. First, a short pass to Chase Claypool on third-and-1 and nobody tackled him as he went 40 yards. Then, Diontae Johnson was wide-open when two Ravens defensive backs crashed into each other when two Steelers receivers crossed paths. Touchdown. Steelers miss the extra point so it is 10-9 Ravens. Offense has really come in spurts today, not steady gains.
Next drive, Minkah Fitzpatrick just drew a 41-yard DPI. Like I said, spurts instead of steady gains.
Aaron Schatz: Diontae Johnson just had a great whip route at the goal line, made Marlon Humphrey slide on the grass which left him wide open for the go-ahead touchdown. They get the two-point conversion to Freiermuth and the Steelers are now up 20-13 with 17 points in the fourth quarter. Ravens will have 1:48 with one timeout to come back.
Scott Spratt: Diontae Johnson had the big drop in the first half, but he has scored twice in the fourth quarter, including this touchdown in the final two minutes to get the Steelers a seven-point lead (after a two-point conversion).
Big Ben to Diontae Johnson! The @Steelers take the lead with 1:48 left! #HereWeGo
: #BALvsPIT on CBS
: NFL app pic.twitter.com/tDhJcYAEUm— NFL (@NFL) December 6, 2021
That was a disgusting cut.
Scott Spratt: If the Steelers lose, then their Least Valuable Player will be kicker Chris Boswell. He slipped and badly missed an extra-point attempt earlier, and he just kicked a kickoff out of bounds to give the Ravens just a 60-yard field to score a touchdown to tie.
Scott Spratt: The Ravens just scored with 12 seconds left, and they are going for two and the win!
Aaron Schatz: Suddenly on the last drive, the Steelers were not blitzing Jackson but they were still leaving huge holes in the middle of the field for the Ravens to easily move up the field. Then there was an all-out blitz where Jackson had to throw real quick and he missed Mark Andrews. But then he hits Sammy Watkins for 5 yards and then for 6 yards and a touchdown. He had forever to throw the ball on that touchdown. Ravens then line up to go for two and the win! And the ball is thrown slightly away from Andrews, who is wide open, and he has his fingers on it but cannot bring it in! Steelers will win 20-19! The rest of the top of the AFC celebrates as the Ravens drop out of the No. 1 spot.
Scott Spratt: Andrews got his fingertips on what would have been the game-winning two-point conversion.
This close! @Steelers win 20-19. #BALvsPIT pic.twitter.com/hlDVeGV2Rw
— NFL (@NFL) December 6, 2021
But T.J. Watt was in Lamar Jackson’s face out of frame and forced a more difficult throw. Watt was a huge difference-maker for the Steelers all game today.
Aaron Schatz: The Ravens’ decision to go for two there is very interesting. I don’t think the numbers favor it. If you are the favored team, you should be favored in overtime. Having Justin Tucker on your team makes you an even bigger favorite in overtime. They must have felt they definitely had a play that would work. And it should have worked, Andrews was wide-open but Jackson missed him.
Aaron Schatz: One last note. John Harbaugh told the press after the game that the Ravens went for two because they were out of cornerbacks due to injuries.
Tom Gower: In the abstract, how much sense you think the two-point conversion makes depends on what you think is likely to happen in overtime. My baseline estimate, based on historical research under the old overtime model, is that games with a relatively even line did tend to be coin flips, while games with lines of a touchdown or more were disproportionately won by the pre-game betting favorite. The NFL’s Next Gen Stats has the decision to go as a 7.6% decrease in win probability.
Steelers win, 20-19.
The Ravens go for two, and fail, on a misthrow by Lamar Jackson (pressured by #90 Watt), who had #89 Andrews open in the flat by 4.4 yards from the nearest defender.
The NGS Decision Guide recommended the Ravens kick the extra point by 7.6% in WP value … pic.twitter.com/3NfbyrX6jD
— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) December 6, 2021
Based on their 2PC and XP rates for the play and assuming 12 seconds isn’t enough time to change the game result, that implies Baltimore is roughly a 59% favorite in overtime. I know, Tucker, and Baltimore is better and was favored, but I’m surprised.
Personally, I’d put that call in what I think of as the zone of reasonableness, that there shouldn’t be a hard-and-fast analytical suggestion to do X or Y and instead the particular percentages could easily be trumped by a coach’s decision on factors not included in general models, like whether you have used up your good goal-to-go plays or, as Harbaugh suggested, all your cornerbacks are hurt.
San Francisco 49ers 23 at Seattle Seahawks 30
Bryan Knowles: The start of this one was delayed with Trenton Cannon needing to be removed from the field by ambulance; he took a shot from his own player on the opening kickoff. He was moving his left hand some as he was carted off the field, so fingers crossed, but this is an ugly, violent game sometimes.
Somehow transitioning from that to football, it looks like the Seahawks are going to start with a three-and-out, but they run a fake punt, the direct snap to Travis Homer. It not only picks up the 6 yards the Seahawks need for the first, it picks up all 72 yards as the 49ers punt unit was completely caught off guard. 7-0 Seahawks early.
Scott Spratt: As West Coast correspondents, either Bryan or Vince is going to have to explain to me how Adrian Peterson is starting this game at running back for the Seahawks.
Bryan Knowles: Time zones, Scott. The west coast is always a little behind the east coast, just because of the earth’s rotation. Apparently, they’re currently about six years behind the east coast.
Bryan Knowles: Russell Wilson is 4-for-4 … for 4 yards. And his last completion was fumbled by Gerald Everett, with D.J. Jones punching the ball out; the 49ers fall on top of it. The very next play sees George Kittle running straight through the Seattle defense on a post route, and it’s tied at 7.
Hey, the Seahawks haven’t punted yet!
Vince Verhei: I’d like to point out that Seattle’s non-three-and-out that set up the fake punt included not one but two failed screen passes even though the Seahawks have been terrible at screens for years.
To answer Scott’s question, Alex Collins is out today with an abdominal injury, Chris Carson is out for the year with a neck injury, so it’s Peterson, Homer, DeeJay Dallas, and Rashaad Penny (until he inevitably gets hurt again) at running back for Seattle today.
Peterson’s first carry goes for a 5-yard loss. Russell Wilson’s fourth pass is his THIRD screen, and Gerald Everett fumbles the ball away to the 49ers. Every Seattle coach who ever calls a screen again should be fired on the spot. Next snap, Jimmy Garoppolo hits George Kittle for a touchdown.
It’s 7-7 and this game is not even five minutes old and I need oxygen.
Carl Yedor: It didn’t take long for the 49ers-Seahawks game to be completely chaotic. After Seattle’s first drive goes nowhere, Travis Homer pops a massive touchdown run on a fake punt. Seattle’s defense gets a stop immediately thereafter, but then Gerald Everett fumbles on the ensuing drive, setting up San Francisco for an easy one-play touchdown drive courtesy of Jimmy Garoppolo and George Kittle. Seattle punts away again, but then Garoppolo throws an interception right to Bobby Wagner. Even if Seattle isn’t going to make the playoffs, they can still bring insanity to any opponent they play.
Vince Verhei: So, you know how the Seahawks have literally never played a normal game? This is like watching 19 Seahawks games at the same time.
Between San Francisco’s keep-away offense and Seattle’s hot-potato defense, we all anticipated the 49ers just eating up clock forever. Instead, their first three drives:
Seattle then takes a holding penalty to go to first-and-20, when Nick Bosa sacks Wilson and forces a fumble. Seahawks recover, but that leaves them at second-and-43. They eventually miss a 56-yard field goal.
This game is still less than 10 minutes old.
Bryan Knowles: With Deebo Samuel out, it’s time for George Kittle to start getting carries. Sure. Why not. Shanahan is just getting bored out there.
Kittle also has been, y’know, catching the ball some, too, taking a little flat route 28 yards before Elijah Mitchell punches it in. It’s 14-7 in what the announcers have called an “eventful” first quarter. It certainly was full of events.
Vince Verhei: OK, things finally calmed down here. A long-ish San Francisco touchdown drive followed by a Seattle three-and-out. Seahawks will punt on the first play of the second quarter.
In five drives, the Seahawks have one first down, and it came on the fake punt. Their other 14 plays have netted 7 yards of offense and three fumbles. That’s not even including yardage lost on fumble recoveries or penalties.
Oh, and to further answer Scott’s earlier question: the Seahawks were also starting Adrian Peterson because their head coach is a senile old man who thinks it’s still 2012. Although, to be fair, Peterson has not been seen since his second carry, when he lost a yard and put the ball on the ground.
Carl Yedor: Seattle continues to make no sense. Seattle calls timeout on third-and-9 to avoid a delay of game, only to then commit a delay of game penalty coming out of said timeout. Then, on the subsequent third-and-14, Wilson hits DK Metcalf deep down the sideline to convert the third down and set up a scoring chance at the goal line. San Francisco commits pass interference on the first play, and then the legend Adrian Peterson scores to make it 17-14.
Bryan Knowles: Emmanuel Moseley and Jaquiski Tartt are both out now, so the 49ers are running Josh Norman and rookie Deommodore Lenoir against DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett, which seems like an area the Seahawks could attack. And indeed, a long DK Metcalf catch moves the Seahawks inside the 5, the Obligatory 49ers Pass Interference call gets it down to the 1, and even the decaying remains of Adrian Peterson can punch it in the extra yard—17-14 49ers with 5:35 left in a very, very weird first half.
Vince Verhei: Two things I want to point out on Seattle’s last drive: it fell incomplete, but the double-reverse-pass-flea-flicker was totally sweet and a great call for an offense that has been desperate for yardage for months now. (Lockett was hurt on the play and walked to the medical tent.) And Peterson had a very good conversion on second-and-3, moving the pile for a first down when, again, Seattle has been wretched at moving the chains for several weeks.
That was a nine-play touchdown drive, and without looking it up, that sure feels like Seattle’s longest of the year.
Bryan Knowles: The 49ers started slowly moving the ball down the field, in what felt for sure like it was going to be a “49ers run the clock out, kick a field goal” sort of drive.
Instead, George Kittle takes an out route 48 yards to the house, tight-roping along the sideline (helped by a crushing block from Trent Sherfield, I should mention). And it’s a good thing, too, as Robbie Gould misses the woulda-been-field goal extra point, so it’s just a 23-14 lead for the 49ers with 1:48 left in the half.
Bryan Knowles: The Seahawks had no timeouts after the 49ers’ touchdown, so building a long touchdown drive seemed difficult, to say the least. But Russell Wilson has a little bit of experience at this … and got helped a little bit by not one but two roughing the passer calls to both stop the clock and keep the ball moving forward. Wilson finds Dee Eskridge multiple times, including for the touchdown to move the Seahawks back within two points as we go to the half.
Vince Verhei: 49ers still up 23-21 at halftime, but I think we can safely say the finger is not a significant issue for Wilson anymore. The play calling and pocket presence, yes, those have been issues, but it’s not as if he’s spraying incompletions all over. The fake punt was a big help, but this is already the first time Seattle has scored 21 points in a game since a 31-10 win over Jacksonville in Week 8. The last time they did it against anything resembling a good team was a in Week 4, a 28-21 win over … San Francisco.
Bryan Knowles: Wilson is 16-4 all-time against the 49ers. One more win will tie him with Johnny Unitas for most wins as a starting quarterback against San Francisco. It’s fair to say he’s given 49er fans something of a complex.
Vince Verhei: Special teams are killing San Francisco—the fake punt and missed PAT in the first half, and then they open the second half fumbling away the kickoff return. That was Travis Benjamin’s first kickoff return this year, filling in for Cannon, who was injured on the opening play.
But Gerald Everett is killing Seattle. He had the fumble in the first half. Then on third down, Wilson hits him for a sure-fire go-ahead touchdown, but he bobbles it into the air and into the arms of K’Waun Williams. Officially, that’s Wilson’s interception, but it’s really Everett’s second turnover of the game.
Bryan Knowles: … but it turns out OK for the Seahawks, as the ball is deep enough in San Francisco territory that they’re able to sack Garoppolo for a safety—Tom Compton, the right tackle, got destroyed by Carlos Dunlap. We’re tied at 23 in what has to be the strangest game this year.
Bryan Knowles: Something that has been rare this year—a second Obligatory Terrible Garoppolo Interception, as he misreads the defense and lets Quandre Diggs basically field a punt to give the Seahawks the ball back.
And then Josh Norman is burned by Tyler Lockett (back after leaving for a bit in the first half), and the Seahawks have a 30-23 lead. Because of course they do.
Vince Verhei: Rashaad Penny is grinding out multiple first downs (even on a screen pass!) without tearing multiple muscles. That may be the weirdest thing yet in this game.
Fourth-and-1 inside the 5-yard line, they turn down the field goal. Homer takes a shotgun handoff for a first-and-goal at the 1. Peterson runs on first and second down combine to lose 1 yard. Third-and-goal at the 2, it’s a shovel pass to Everett … who fumbles. Again. And San Francisco recovers, taking over at their own 1, down 30-23.
Bryan Knowles: Gerald Everett, Keep Choppin’ Wood. For the third time today, he turns the ball over—twice now at the end zone when he was about to score, and the third lead to a 49ers score earlier in the game.
So instead of being up two scores, the Seahawks now are up seven points, with the 49ers having the ball with 4:03 left in the game. This game is drunk.
Bryan Knowles: It’s not to be. The 49ers get the ball to down to the Seahawks’ 3, but Seattle stiffens up there, tipping Garoppolo’s pass on fourth down, and the Seahawks come out on top.
Wilson is now 17-4 against San Francisco.
Scott Spratt: The NFC West is rock-paper-scissors. The Seahawks beat the 49ers, the 49ers beat the Rams, and the Rams beat the Seahawks.
Vince Verhei: Crazy that a game with so much scoring is decided by a pair of goal-line drives—San Francisco’s at one end to give them a chance, then Seattle’s at the other end to win.
If Gerald Everett just hangs on to the ball on his three turnovers, Seattle wins that game 40-16.
The loss drops San Francisco to 6-6, which is still tied with Washington for the second wild-card spot behind the Rams. And I remind you again that some bad teams are going to make the playoffs in the NFC.
Carl Yedor: And in the rock-paper-scissors, Arizona just operates without logic in divisional games because it doesn’t fit in neatly with the rest of the crowd. What a wild game; in other words, the quintessential Seahawks-watching experience. San Francisco is still well-positioned for a playoff run, but they have to take their opportunities when they get them. Their finishing schedule is Bengals, Falcons, Titans, Texans, Rams, so they should have plenty of chances to pick up wins on the home stretch.
Jacksonville Jaguars 7 at Los Angeles Rams 37
Vince Verhei: Rams are getting a feisty effort from the Jaguars and go into halftime with a 16-7 lead. They’re also a little conservative, kicking field goals on fourth-and-2 and fourth-and-3. Lots of dropped passes and penalties in scoring range. Even their touchdown was a short 27-yard drive after a James Robinson fumble (forced by Aaron Donald and recovered by former Jacksonville corner Jalen Ramsey, naturally). But the Jaguars offense is, as usual, inept—only two plays on that fumble drive and two three-and-outs, though they did have a 13-play, 73-yard touchdown drive, ending with a Carlos Hyde goal-line plunge. Even that drive required a fourth-and-2 conversion, plus a pair of first downs via penalty.
Vince Verhei: OK, Cooper Kupp just single-handedly finished off Jacksonville. Second-and-3, he gets open on a left-to-right deep cross for a gain of 43. Then on second-and-4, he gets open on a crosser from the right side over the middle and runs in for a 29-yard touchdown and a 23-7 lead. Kupp now up to 5-94-1 midway through the third quarter.
Washington Football Team 17 at Las Vegas Raiders 15
Vince Verhei: I have barely been watching this, even though it’s theoretically the most important game of the day. But the Raiders just kicked a field goal to go up 15-14 with about two and a half minutes to go. Wild-card berths in both conferences could be decided by what happens next.
Vince Verhei: And Washington gets a go-ahead field goal with little difficulty. Mostly just Taylor Heinicke hitting short completions. Fourth-and-1, they tease going for it in hopes that the Raiders will jump offsides, but when that doesn’t work, they call timeout and Brian Johnson hits the 48-yard field goal for the lead.
Raiders still have about 30 seconds to answer. Derek Carr tries a deep shot to Zay Jones, but the ball is knocked away on a play with more than a little contact downfield. A few plays later, Las Vegas’ Hail Mary attempt falls incomplete, and Washington wins its fourth straight game.
Aaron Schatz: Defender had Zay Jones’ jersey on that deep pass. A lot of officials would have called DPI on that, which is one of the problems with inconsistency between officiating crews.
Denver Broncos 9 at Kansas City Chiefs 22
Bryan Knowles: That seemed too easy. Broncos go three-and-out; Chiefs march down the field 72 yards in 12 plays and score on a Patrick Mahomes scramble. They flexed this into prime time?
Scott Spratt: It always shocks me too, but apparently the broader public prefers dominant teams to likely competitive games between less dominant teams. The Chiefs have been big ratings drivers all season based on The Athletic’s Bill Shea’s research.
Scott Spratt: Ha, I guess I was playing chicken with the Sunday night broadcast because, as soon as rookie Broncos running back Javonte Williams broke a tackle, they showed a table of how he led FBS in broken tackles at North Carolina in 2020 and is leading the position this season. The stat I had prepped is that Williams has a 16.2% avoided tackle rate based on Sportradar charting, and that’s the highest among running backs with 100 or more carries and pretty easily. Christian McCaffrey is second at 13.0% and AJ Dillon is third at 10.9%.
Aaron Schatz: Javonte Williams is (mostly) slicing through the Chiefs run defense that had improved so much over the last few weeks, but on pass plays the coverage has been strong. Teddy Bridgewater has attempted to go deep to covered receivers a few times tonight. Broncos just ran a 20-play drive with two fourth-down conversions and a lot of strong Williams runs but they (and Williams) finally failed when Willie Gay stuffed Williams on fourth-and-2 at the Kansas City 8. Ten minutes off the clock, no points. Still 10-3 Chiefs.
Scott Spratt: Well, felt like a game-ender for the Broncos. They just drove 20 plays for 88 yards and took more than 11 minutes of clock (and most of the second quarter) and came away with nothing. Teddy Bridgewater threw the ball away to avoid pressure on a third-and-2 and the Chiefs’ 8-yard line, and then Javonte Williams was stuffed by multiple Chiefs in the backfield on a fourth-down attempt.
If the Broncos can hold the Chiefs scoreless in the final minute, then they could enter halftime within a touchdown. But man that failed drive has to be deflating for the road underdog.
Bryan Knowles: Per Stathead’s database, that was the fifth 20-plus-play drive to end without a score in the 21st century. The last one, oddly enough, was also against the Chiefs, though it was the Alex Smith version; in 2016, Cam Newton’s Panthers went from first-and-10 on the 20 into loss of 1, sack for -7, and sack for -12, and opted to punt on fourth-and-30 rather than attempt a 57-yard field goal.
Scott Spratt: Man, I thought I was watching this Chiefs game in peace. But no, catching stray Panthers burns from Bryan.
Bryan Knowles: Half my family’s from Carolina. I have to have Panthers burns at my fingertips essentially constantly.
(Though it’s a welcome change from having to explain to them that, no, 2011-15 Cam Newton was, in fact, a good quarterback)
Vince Verhei: We had a question from a reader a year or two ago about what the DVOA would look like for an offense that gained exactly 4 yards on every single play. I think Denver is modeling their game plan tonight in an attempt to answer that question.
Of course, they’re failing to gain 4 yards on *every* play, which is the problem with that game plan. It’s very hard to score when you absolutely have to execute a dozen plays in a row to do it.
Scott Spratt: Mahomes has to be leading the league in tipped-pass interceptions this season.
@PatSurtainll picks off @PatrickMahomes @Broncos D comes up with a stop to start the third quarter@Broncos 3 @Chiefs 10#BroncosCountry | #ChiefsKingdom
Watch #DENvsKC on @ESPNAusNZ and https://t.co/sSU0MeSBbV pic.twitter.com/5hRKbAk2Qj
— NFL Australia (@NFLAustralia) December 6, 2021
Scott Spratt: The Chiefs haven’t lit the world on fire tonight, but the Broncos are piling up mistakes. Teddy Bridgewater threw an interception right to safety Juan Thornhill. And then after forcing a three-and-out, the Broncos fumbled away a punt by way of a collision between returner Diontae Spencer and a Chiefs defender being blocked into him. The Chiefs are taking over in the red zone up 13-3 at the start of the fourth quarter.
Rivers McCown: The Chiefs turned into a Bret Bielema Experiment so quickly I didn’t even notice.
Scott Spratt: During the Chiefs slump, everyone talked about how Patrick Mahomes wasn’t patient enough to take what defenses were giving him underneath coverages with two high safeties. But I feel like the Broncos fell into that trap tonight. Their turnovers happened when they got bored slowly gashing the Chiefs with 4- and 5-yard carries. And that last Bridgewater pick-six will end this one.
Bryan Knowles: OK, I think we’re finally done here. On fourth-and-2, Bridgewater drops back and hits Daniel Sorensen right in the numbers. Sorensen takes it back 77 yards for a score, it’s finally a three-score lead, and the Chiefs should have this one in the bag. It seemed like it was leaning there all game, but the Chiefs’ offense couldn’t put it away. Consider it put away.
https://www.footballoutsiders.com/audibles/2021/detroit-lions-win-football-game






