The NFL is heading into the halfway mark of the season with many questions finally answered, but how some teams react to major injuries continues to dominate how we should bet these games.
Another week, another major star quarterback being lost for weeks on end. This team, it was the biggest star. Patrick Mahomes dislocated his kneecap during the Kansas City Chiefs game against the Denver Broncos on Thursday night. It was awful, but wasn’t nearly as bad as it could have been.
On top of that, Matt Ryan is dealing with an injury of his own for a floundering Atlanta Falcons team, but his injury might not matter. If Ryan misses this week’s game, that means by our count we have eight backup quarterbacks playing this week.
That is going to dominate storylines and betting lines. How much will Matt Moore move the Chiefs line? What’s unfortunate is that this happened ahead of the expected State Farm matchup of Aaron Rodgers versus Mahomes. There are still a lot of fun matchups this week, but (spoiler alert) none of them are on nationally syndicated television.
When we’re all watching terrible football, we have to at least throw some money on it to make it interesting. We have a feeling that’s going to happen a lot this week, especially on Thursday and Monday night.
All lines we taken from the latest number on The Action Network.
Last Week: 7-7
Season Record: 49-57-1
Thursday Night Football
Washington Redskins vs. Minnesota Vikings (-16)
It took just one day to move this line from 14.5 to 16 points. The Washington Redskins were able to hold the undefeated San Francisco 49ers to just nine points, but they needed a monsoon to do it. They also couldn’t score any points themselves, This team seems to get worse every week, and we expect them to look forward to being sellers soon.
The Minnesota Vikings have looked great since Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen called their quarterback out. Since then, Kirk Cousins has been phenomenal. He has four touchdowns in both of the last two matchups. Cousins rolling is the best possible news for the Vikings and the worst possible news for the rest of the NFC North.
Basically, what you’re looking at for this matchup is whether you think the Vikings are going to be able to score in bunches against the Redskins. There likely won’t be a monsoon to help the Redskins defense hold the Vikings off the board. The Redskins allow the sixth-most rushing yards per game in the league, and Dalvin Cook leads the entire NFL in rushing yards. Not only is this one-sided, but it’s also a terrible matchup for the Redskins. Pick: Minnesota (-16)